A group of scientists from the USA, China and the Netherlands has calculated the launch of manned missions to Jupiter and Saturn.
The introductory data were the distances to these planets and the time to cover it. The manned mission to the remote parts of the Solar System will be the longest since the space race of the USSR and the USA in the last century.
Despite the rapid development of private space programs, all major space projects are paid for by governments. To assess the pace of progress, scientists analyzed the number of articles published annually on deep space exploration. This parameter is growing exponentially, now scientists publish about two thousand articles a year.
By calculating a combination of linear and exponential dependencies, the authors of the study derived an equation with variables such as the distance to Saturn (Jupiter), the time of the start of the space race and the first lunar mission, as well as the approximate time of landing on Mars. According to this model, people will be able to fly to Jupiter in 2103, and to Saturn in 2132.
